1 Additional information on these emissions scenarios can be found in an IPCC report, available online here: http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/sres/emission/index.php?idp=0
2 Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are four greenhouse gas concentration (not emissions) trajectories adopted by the IPCC for its Fifth Assessment Report. The pathways are used for climate modeling and research. They describe four possible climate futures, all of which are considered possible depending on how much greenhouse gas is emitted in the years to come. The four RCPs--RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6, and RCP8.5--are named after a possible range of radiative forcing values in the year 2100 relative to pre-industrial values (+2.6, +4.5, +6.0, and +8.5 W/m2, respectively).
3 Please note that the World Bank’s CCKP will be constantly updated to include more datasets as resources are made available.
4 See Figure 13.11a in J.A. Church et al., eds., “Sea Level Change,” in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change, edited by T. F. Stocker et al. (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press).
5 See Figure 13.12d in Church et al., “Sea Level Change.”
6 U.S. Global Change Research Program, 2014 National Climate Assessment (Washington: 2014) (http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/report)
7 See Figure 13.11b in Church et al., “Sea Level Change.”
8 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States, National Climate Assessment, NOAA Technical Report OAR CPO-1 (Washington: 2012)
(http://cpo.noaa.gov/sites/cpo/Reports/2012/NOAA_SLR_r3.pdf)
9 See Table 13.5 in Church et al., “Sea Level Change.”
10 M.K. Karim, and N. Mimura, “Impacts of Climate Change and Sea-level Rise on Cyclonic Storm Surge Floods in Bangladesh,” Global Environmental Change, vol. 18, no. 3: 490-500 (2008) (doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.05.002); and M.L. Shrestha, ed., The Impact of Tropical Cyclones on the Coastal Regions of SAARC Countries and Their Influence in the Region (Bangladesh: SMRC N. SAARC Meteorological Research Centre, DHA, October 1998).
11 R.D. Knabb, J.R. Rhome, and D.P. Brown, “Tropical Cyclone Report, Hurricane Katrina, 23-30 August 2005” (Washington: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2005). (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL122005_Katrina.pdf)
12 Church et al., “Sea Level Change.”
13 J.H. Christensen et al., “Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change,” in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by T.F. Stocker (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 2013).
14 Christensen et al., “Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change.”
15 C.B. Field et al., eds., Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press, 2012).
16 Background information on the data in the Climate Change Knowledge Portal may be found at this CCKP web page: http://sdwebqa.worldbank.org/climateportal/documents/Metadata-Portal.pdf